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Terra

Retirement Passive Income Core (50/50)

Designed for retirees and those with passive income needs, with a medium risk tolerance. Hold cash outside the portfolio.

Investor’s investment objective

Terra targets an average return of 4.5%+ per year over 7 years by investing 50% of your portfolio in growth assets with 50% in defensive assets. It’s designed for passive income in retirement.

Who it’s for:

The construction of Terra is such that it may be considered suitable for a broad range of clients, especially those in retirement, seeking a ‘complete’ Core portfolio or, as part of a wider strategy depending on their particular circumstances and goals.

Investment timeframe:

Terra is suitable for Investors with a medium-term investment timeframe (5-7 years), especially those in retirement. However, we believe Terra can be blended with a solid savings account, term deposit or offset account cash holding (i.e. 2 years’ worth of living expenses) and, therefore, be suitable for retirees.

Risk and Return profile:

Investors seeking a blend of income and capital growth over the medium to long term could follow Terra. It suits investors who are prepared to accept medium levels of risk and volatility in returns year to year.

Why Invest in

Terra

The Terra strategy targets an average return of 4.5%+ per year over 5+ years, by investing 50% of your portfolio in growing assets such as Australian and international shares, and alternatives; with 50% in defensive assets, like bonds or cash, or alternative defensive assets, like gold; to protect your money and generate passive income.

Performance

Terra

vs Benchmark

Performance Analysis

Asset Allocation

33%
25%
25%
17%

Security Name Code Weighting
Betashares Australian High Interest Cash ETF AAA 15.00%
VanEck MSCI Multifactor Emerging Markets Eq ETF EMKT 10.00%
iShares Core Composite Bond ETF IAF 18.00%
iShares S&P 500 (AUD Hedged) ETF IHVV 10.00%
iShares S&P 500 AUD ETF IVV 10.00%
Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF VAS 10.00%
Vanguard Global Aggregate Bond Index (Hedged) ETF VBND 15.00%
Vanguard Australian Shares High Yield ETF VHY 15.00%
CASH 2.00%
Holding Exposure
USD/AUD Purchased 22.72%
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF 19.91%
Commonwealth Bank of Australia 2.41%
BHP Group Ltd 2.40%
National Australia Bank Ltd 1.59%
Westpac Banking Corp 1.51%
ANZ Group Holdings Ltd 1.26%
Australia (Commonwealth of) 2.75% 1.23%
Macquarie Group Ltd 1.12%
Rio Tinto Ltd 0.96%
Australia (Commonwealth of) 3.25% 0.92%
Woodside Energy Group Ltd 0.77%
Telstra Group Ltd 0.72%
Transurban Group 0.65%
CSL Ltd 0.55%
Australia (Commonwealth of) 4.25% 0.46%
Australia (Commonwealth of) 4.75% 0.46%
Australia (Commonwealth of) 0.25% 0.44%
Australia (Commonwealth of) 0.5% 0.43%
Australia (Commonwealth of) 2.5% 0.41%

Key Facts

Investment objective

The Terra strategy targets an average return of 4.5%+ per year over 5+ years by investing 50% of your portfolio in growing assets, such as Australian and international shares, and alternatives; with 50% in defensive assets, like bonds or cash, or alternative defensive assets, like gold or private credit; to protect your money and generate passive income.


Typical investor

This strategy was designed for investors who are, like us, very long-term focused, want to protect their wealth (and purchasing power), receive a steady stream of income, and grow their wealth sustainably over time. The income can be taken out, or reinvested back into the strategy for further growth or passive income in future years. These investors would also be prepared to accept market risks to achieve a moderate-to-high level of total return (income + capital growth).


Investment strategy and approach

This strategy invests in a mixture of Australian and international shares, alternative assets, cash, and fixed income, blended for growth and income. More than half of the portfolio will be passive, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), offering diversification, transparency, and (typically) low costs. Such holdings form the bedrock for exposure to markets. In addition, after rigorous research, our team will tilt the portfolio to talented active funds managers (e.g. small-cap managers), direct shares, LICs or alternative assets. Our team seeks exposures that are not perfectly correlated to traditional assets, like Australian shares, and towards alternative growth assets which are not available as a traditional index fund. We believe a blend of low-cost market exposure (“beta”) with a willingness to back capital allocators (“active”) can result in strong risk-adjusted returns for our investors.


Indicative number of holdings

5 – 20


Authorised investments

ASX listed passive ETFs, active ETFs, LICs, REITs and shares.


Management fee (% p.a.)

0.55% plus ETF fees of 0.19% = Total 0.74% (inc GST)

 


Minimum initial investment

$20,000


Minimum allocation

What is the minimum % exposure to:

  • Individual listed security – 1%
  • ETF – 1%

Maximum allocation

What is the maximum % exposure to:

  • Individual listed security – 10%
  • ETF – 40%

Indicative model portfolio turnover (% p.a.)

Under 25%


Suggested investment timeframe

5+ years


Indirect Costs

0.09% – 0.30% p.a. Our portfolios use Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and these fees are charged by third party ETF providers.


Transaction Costs

The greater of $4.40 per trade or 0.044% of the value of the trade paid entirely to 3rd party broker

Important info

They say there are no free lunches in investing. I disagree.

I believe that a Core portfolio built from low-cost, diversified index fund ETFs is the best bang for our buck we’ll find anywhere.

I don’t have exact numbers on it but I believe the invention of the index fund, which are now made available inside some ETFs, is the single greatest disruptor the finance industry has ever seen.

Since 1976, when John Bogle launched Vanguard’s first index fund, index funds have resulted in billions of dollars going back to investors that might otherwise be paid in fees to Wall Street.

One by one, the disruption caused by the trend toward index funds has resulted in active investors, Superannuation funds, financial advisers and wealth management platforms (e.g. brokers) also lowering their fees. For example, Rask Core’s super-low membership fee is a direct result of competition for lower fees. This trend was started by Bogle.

On a $1 million portfolio, the difference between a 1% management fee and the fees for our chosen portfolios is clear: a 1% fee would be $10,000 going back to fund managers; the Rask balanced portfolio option (Martian) would cost $2,480 per year — a 75% reduction in fees!

Over in our Satellite section, you will find a list of companies/stocks (and other types of investments) that I find fascinating. In times gone by, most people would start with stock picking — because it was really the only option.

However, as time has gone by, research paper after research paper has suggested that a long-term portfolio’s returns are best explained by an investor’s Core portfolio. Specifically, studies show that taking risk by staying invested and the overall mix between growth (e.g. shares) and defence (e.g. bonds and cash) will determine whether you make money or not — not the stock picks you make.

Big investment firms often quote studies, like the one by Brinson, Hood & Singer (1991) which showed that around 91% of a portfolio’s return is explained by which markets you invest in (e.g. shares or bonds) and only 7% is explained by which individual stocks you pick. It’s worth noting some critiques say it might be closer to 50%.

Nonetheless, I think these results (together with the other stuff I’m about to explain) reveal to us some glaringly obvious facts about investing. Specifically, they tell us it makes more sense to:

  1. Build a low-cost Core portfolio as soon as possible; and
  2. Spend more time focused where we are invested (shares or bonds), not the individual stocks.

Most investors go about it the wrong way. They spend the majority of their time trying to find “cheap stocks” when most of the return will likely come from simple decisions like ‘60% in stocks will do me’.

I still love finding undervalued stocks and learning about businesses. But I want to get the record straight — it’s great fun, but it probably won’t be the thing that makes you wealthy.

Professor Bessembinger shows that depending on the market you fish in, between 1.5% and 5% of stocks do better than bonds. Put another way, if you do decide to pick individual stocks, it’s important to accept that maybe only 1/20 will do well. So when you find them, hold on! Or instead of trying to use a rod & reel, just cast a wide net (index fund).

Amongst professional investors, S&P SPIVA research shows that most professional fund managers do worse than their index fund equivalent. The longer the survey period, the worse the results become. Put another way, the longer the time horizon the better index funds look!

This table shows how many fund managers do worse than their index fund equivalents.
Geography5 years10 years15 years
Australia74%77%83%
USA84%90%89%

Finally, diversification is another reason why index fund ETFs probably make more sense for the Core of a portfolio than individual stocks, costly investment properties, and many other types of investments.

It’s been shown that ~30 random individual investments is enough to capture a lot of the benefits of diversification. And if you know what you’re doing (e.g. a professional investor), 15 uncorrelated investments is probably enough. This is why stock brokers used to say “it’s a race to 30”. Meaning every investor should have at least 30 stocks to be diversified.

(Side note: anyone who has owned 30 stocks will know how difficult it can be to ‘keep up’ with all 30 companies.)

For an index fund investor, instant diversification across stocks is achieved with one investment. For example, if you buy into the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS), which has ~300 companies, you’re going to get some miners, some bank shares, some technology shares, etc. If one of those sectors (e.g. banking) does poorly, you’ll be partly insulated because the rest of the portfolio might not be exposed to exactly the same risks. Throw in bond ETFs, cash ETFs and global shares ETFs, and you can get very well diversified with just a few ETFs in your portfolio.

It’s worth spending a few moments talking about what drives index returns. Personally, I believe risk is what drives the overall stock market. That is, taking calculated risks is what enables some people to become wealthier than others.

Take a look at the following table, which reveals the yearly returns over… wait for it… 52 years! You can see that shares beat bonds and cash. I reckon they’d also beat property, but I didn’t have the property dataset for 50 years.

Returns over 52 years 

MarketYearly return (average)
Australian shares9.4%
Global shares9.7%
US shares11.5%
Australian bonds7.5%
Cash7.4%

Source: Vanguard index charts, as of June 2022 (the link opens in a new tab).

If we zoom out even further to, say, 100+ years of stock market history, we will see that the Australian share market has returned an average of ~13% over the 122 years, to June 2022 — making it the best stock market in the world.

There are a few key reasons for our prosperity but one that keeps emerging in my conversations and research is simple: we’re a stable democracy with strong regulation.

Likewise, in the United States, one of the best-performing stock markets since the 1900s, we’ve seen investors rewarded time and again. Again, we see a strong nation with a capitalistic democracy (though polarising) that champions economics and property rights. According to data going back to 1871, the top 500 companies in the USA (represented by the S&P 500 index fund ETF, or IVV) have grown their profits, on average, by 6.14% per year.

Importantly, today’s S&P 500 is not the same 500 companies as in 1871 (there was a time when 50% of company profits were from railroads!). And some years were bloody terrible — in 2008, for example, corporate profits went backward 77%. And from 1917 to 1921 (5 years) profits went backwards 29%, 36%, 18%, 16% and then 59% (the next year they jumped 144%).

But here’s the rub, many years were great! 8 years saw corporate profits rise greater than 50%! And 59% of years were positive. Index investing is about averages.

Here’s what it all means… 

History has proven that, overall, the stock market is the single best place to invest in the long run. And I believe it’s because businesses create more value for society, and this is slowly but surely represented by steadily increasing profits. After all, if your business isn’t reporting a profit — it’s probably not creating enough value (so it dies, and something takes its place!).

The data here also leads me to prefer to invest in markets where there are strong democracies and a stable legal system (e.g. one that respects property rights and fosters innovation). Such as the USA and Australia.

Choosing the best ETFs is only one part of investing in ETFs. The way we ‘mix’ ETFs together, known as portfolio construction, is what’s important.

When I put these portfolios together, I took into account:

  • Portfolio overlap. There’s no point in owning multiple ETFs that end up investing in the same companies or assets. You can check basic portfolio overlap using Vanguard’s free tool, studying each ETF’s top 10 holdings, or using a paid service like Bloomberg or Morningstar X-Ray.
  • Hedging. Over time, many studies show it’s only at extremes (e.g. when the AUD hit $1.10 against the USD) that switching between currencies makes sense. I tend to invest with unhedged ETFs because they have lower fees.
  • Tax domicile. I tend to avoid ETFs if their tax status is not registered in Australia (it’s easier to just avoid them). Vanguard VTS is an example of an ETF I would no longer invest in, simply due to an unnecessary tax obligation to fill in a W8-BEN form and potentially expose myself to US estate taxes.
  • Over-optimised portfolios. You can look at good financial data, find 5 ETFs and think ‘well I’ll just buy those 5!’ It’s vitally important to understand the best-performing portfolio of ETFs over the past five years might not be the best mix for your risk profile, or indeed simply the best going forward. Every year, the media reports on the ‘best ETFs’ and, often, I say to myself “Christ, I’d NEVER own any of those!” Balance is important.

If you’re a completely new investor, be sure to consider the Vanguard diversified ETFs before the Rask Core portfolios. They could be easier for you to start.

Picking a Rask Core ETF portfolio to follow comes down to two things:

  1. Your willingness to take risk. If your temperament is not suited to 20% or 30% falls (which are very possible), that’s okay. You might choose a more conservative option. Likewise, if you’re new to investing (under 5 years of experience) you could consider starting with the more conservative option. Taking more risk does not always result in bigger returns. All that said, if you’ve been investing for a few years and plan to stay invested over many years (through thick and thin), you might be willing to take more risk.
  2. Your capacity to take risk. If you don’t yet have your personal finances in ship shape, including an emergency fund; consider your income/salary to be unreliable; or you think you will need the money you plan to invest at some point in the next 5 years; you should consider your other options before investing. These include paying off high-interest debt (which is a great use of capital), or parking extra cash in your offset or savings account (for financial emergencies or upcoming expenses like travel, house deposit or renovations). All that said, if you consider your finances to be in great shape, plan to invest for the long haul and have a plan, you should be able to take more risk with your investment portfolio.

With a low-cost and diversified Core portfolio in place, I reckon you’re 90% of the way towards using the greatest compounding tool (the stock market) to your long-term financial advantage. 

With low costs, a healthy amount of diversification, income and growth focus, I think we’re tilting the odds of long-term investment success firmly in our favour with the Rask Core portfolios.

If you have any questions, be sure to pop them into the Rask Core Community.

 Also, don’t forget, getting ahead on a mortgage via an offset account, or adding extra money to superannuation (up to $27,500 per year in tax-deductible concessional contributions), are fantastic ways to invest for your future. And you don’t need to do really anything to make it happen. 

ETF reports